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Market Pulse Report 3Q 2021, Part 1 of 3

Ron Buck

By Reizchel Oasay and Ron Buck

The International Business Brokers Association (IBBA) and M&A Source have recently published their third-quarter market research for 2021. The report is a statistical analysis of 303 respondents who answered this quarter’s 25 question survey. This is the first of a three-part series.

The respondents were asked if they believed it was a buyer’s or seller’s market for all the different price ranges. For businesses valued under $500K, 59% of the respondents answered it was a buyer’s market. The following business ranges were believed to be a seller’s market: 54% for the businesses valued in the $500K to $1M range, 66% for the businesses valued in the $1M to $2M range, 80% for the businesses valued in the $2M to $5M, and 78% for the businesses valued in the $5M to $50M range.

The median number of months from listing or engagement to close was 7 months for under $500K and for the $500K to $1M range. Furthermore, the median number of months from listing to engagement to close was 8.5 months in the $1M to $2M range, 9.5 months in the  $2M to $5M range, and 11 months in the $5M to $50M range.

Seller’s Discretionary Earnings (SDE) and Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) median multiples had some movement from last quarter’s multiples. In median SDE and EBITDA, SDE stayed at 2x for the under $500K transactions, and EBITDA declined from 3.3x to 2.5x. In the $500K to $1M range, SDE decreased from 2.5x to 2.3x, and EBITDA declined from 4.0x to 2.8x. In the $1M to $2M range, SDE multiple stayed at 3.3x, but EBITDA declined from 4.0x to 3.8x. In the $2M to $5M range, the SDE multiple decreased from 4.0x to 3.3x, and EBITDA declined from 4.5x to 4.0x. And lastly, in the $5M to $50M range, the SDE multiple stayed at 4.25x, and EBITDA increased from 5.8x to 6.8x. These quarterly movements showed significant change when compared to previous quarters, likely due to continued disruption from COVID and unusual 2020 financial results that are not reflective of the company’s ongoing prospects.  Buyers and sellers should be careful when using generic multiples, as multiples are not only just one of several valuation methodologies, but also vary greatly by industry.